The Relationship Between The Energy Mix Used in Bitcoin Mining and The Market Performance of Bitcoin as a Financial Asset: Market Return, Price Volatility, and GHG Emissions
Abstract
Bitcoin’s Proof-of-Work mechanism is energy intensive, exceeding the electricity consumption of a medium-sized country. As the adoption accelerates, it become a concern. Most studies analyzed its energy consumption, emissions, and price in isolation. This study examines the relationship between the energy consumption and energy mix of Bitcoin and its market performance, moderated by quality of regulation, using a time-series of secondary data from reputable resources e.g. Cambridge Bitcoin Electricity Consumption Index,, the Worldwide Governance Indicators, etc. Regression analyses are employed to test the hypotheses. Eight of nine null hypotheses failed to reject. However, energy consumption was found to have a significant positive relationship with market return. It is, however, likely that this finding captures shared underlying drivers of Bitcoin’s price and its energy consumption, as well as possible reverse causality. Energy mix was found to have no significant effect on the three alternative outcomes, aligned with the fungibility of Bitcoin. Furthermore, regulatory was found not to significantly moderate also likely due to the narrow variation in the Indonesia’s scores during the study period. The study identified that markets do not reward sustainable mining with a market premium, implying that the transition towards renewable-powered mining in Indonesia requires more policy intervention.